Iceland volcano threat ‘overestimated’

Foreign media claims that another Icelandic volcano may be about to erupt, causing even more damage than last year’s Eyjafjallajokull eruption, are being strongly contested by scientists.

An increase in seismic activity in the area around Bardarbunga – Iceland’s second largest volcano – is providing “good reason to worry [about a possible eruption],” Pall Einarsson, a professor of geophysics at the University of Iceland, told RUV.

The story was then picked up by international media, including Britain’s Daily Telegraph and Daily Mail; both of which have understandably sensationalised the story, geologists agree.

As British newspapers come from a no-longer-volcanic island, it is natural that they should assume that a new Icelandic eruption would rival or surpass Eyjafjallajokull for causing travel chaos — and even more natural that their readers should agree. But in reality, there is often the risk of a volcano in Iceland and tourists sometimes visit the country without even noticing that an eruption is taking place.

During last year’s eruption, IceNews spoke to Ari Trausti Gudmundsson, one of Iceland’s most respected geologists and today we asked for his reaction to the latest news: “It is extremely sensationalised,” he said. “Way too much drama, and some of it just straightforward wrong.”

In response to increasing international speculation last night, the Icelandic Meteorological Office released a statement reiterating that there is no new volcanic eruption and no sign that an eruption is imminent at Bardarbunga, or anywhere else in the country. There have been no warnings released by the met office since the earthquakes last weekend.

The calm message coming out of Iceland is that an eruption could indeed take place in the coming months, weeks or possibly days; but that there is nothing unusual about that fact and that there is nothing to suggest it will cause aviation chaos like last year. A final thought for anyone planning to visit Iceland this year is that Eyjafjallajokull caused less disruption in Iceland itself than almost anywhere else in Western Europe.

Some parts of Ari Trausti’s last interview with IceNews are still highly relevant:

“The average eruption rate in Iceland is one eruption every 4-5 years or so. Sometimes a number of them may occur within a decade but a decade may pass with only one eruption, or none. So, we will see an eruption in the future but today there is no indication of where or when.”

Is it really safe to visit Iceland any more?
Yes it absolutely is. Think of the last 5-6 decades. It was totally safe to visit Iceland then, despite a number of volcanic eruptions. This time it is utterly safe as well.”

“The Icelanders have done everything in their power to prevent problems or damage and the monitoring system is good as well as measures taken by the Civil Protection Department. Some 99% of the population is safe and so will every visitor be.”

See the full interview here.

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9 Responses to “Iceland volcano threat ‘overestimated’”

  1. Flights says:

    The media love sensational stories.

    Simply reporting that everything is back to normal won’t bring in ad revenue.

    Hopefully people will accept that it is safe, and visit this amazing country.

  2. Nicola Weaver says:

    I hope you are right.

    FYI, you might be interested in this, which is a hub of all the volcano videos:
    http://volcano.videohq.tv

  3. Tom says:

    You should be suggesting people come to Iceland BECAUSE of an eruption!

    Great country! I have been twice, hope to visit again.

  4. Alex says:

    Hi Tony,

    Thanks for your very valid comment. As the writer, I’ll put my hands up and say that the article is possibly a bit “jazzy”, to use your word. As an Icelandic media source, we feel this is appropriate as an initial response to inflammatory and potentially damaging stories like this one: http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/top-stories/2011/02/09/warning-of-new-icelandic-volcano-eruption-115875-22909361/

    However, please do stick with IceNews for more detailed and scientific accounts in the coming days.

    Having said that; at this moment the scaremongers and the ‘calming voices’ are both working from the same data, which is very little. There is simply no way of knowing what will happen; but experience based on a thousand years of Icelandic volcanoes would suggest it is more likely that your trip to Ireland will not be adversely affected.

    All the best
    Alex
    IceNews editor

  5. Tony Snapper says:

    I would like some info based on activity not on what the Icelandic Tourist Board wants or what somebody does to jazz up a story.
    I am not afraid to go to Iceland but would like to avoid being stuck in Ireland like I was last year not knowing when or how I could travel back based on B.S. from press officers from the different airlines and airports. I need to go to Ireland soon – I do not need to go to Iceland. PLease give the scientific info and prognoses not PR spin and I think it would be much appreciated…..

Trackbacks/Pingbacks

  1. [...] was a risk of Bárdarbunga volcano erupting. The Iceland Meteorological Office has subsequently issued a statement saying there are, in fact, no signs of an imminent eruption. They would, they say, issue an alert [...]

  2. [...] was a risk of Bárdarbunga volcano erupting. The Iceland Meteorological Office has subsequently issued a statement saying there are, in fact, no signs of an imminent eruption. They would, they say, issue an alert [...]

  3. [...] was a risk of Bárdarbunga volcano erupting. The Iceland Meteorological Office has subsequently issued a statement saying there are, in fact, no signs of an imminent eruption. They would, they say, issue an alert [...]

  4. [...] have been misquoted and exaggerated by the media (will try to find an iPlayer link later) and other Icelandic geologists agree that the danger has been overstated. What a [...]


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